ClimateSim - a climate-change simulation app from ScienceBySimulation

Quick steps: • Select a scenario, and/or specify and save a trend for each greenhouse gas (GHG) • Click "Simulate" to run a climate simulation

Specify Emissions Trend	Select GHG:
Set Mid-Century Year
Specify Mid-Century Emissions		PgC
Specify Final Emissions (in the year 2100)		PgC

Select scenario:

Run simulation:

View Detailed Results

Emissions Trends	Year 2011	Mid-Century	Year 2100
CO2 (PgC) Mid-century:	0	0	0
CH4 (TgCH4) Mid-century:	0	0	0
N2O (TgN) Mid-century:	0	0	0

Summary Results

Simulated Final State (year 2100): ∆T: 0 ^oC; ∆RF: 0 W/m2; CO2 Conc.: 0 ppm; CH4 Conc.: 0 ppb; N2O Conc.: 0 ppb

Legend: ∆T=global mean annual surface temperature change relative to year 1750 (deg C); T=absolute mean annual surface temperature (deg K); ∆RF=radiative forcing relative to year 1750 (W/m2); Conc.=atmospheric concentration (ppm or ppb); λ=climate sensitivity (deg C/W/m2); ε=atmospheric longwave emissivity or absorptivity at thermal equlibrium (unitless); R=radiant flux density (W/m2); SW=shortwave; LW=longwave; A=albedo.

Detailed Simulation Results:
Global Earth System Response to GHG Perturbation

Year	Co2 Conc. (ppm)	CH4 Conc. (ppb)	N2O Conc. (ppb)	Co2 ∆RF (W/m2)	CH4 ∆RF (W/m2)	N2O ∆RF (W/m2)	Total ∆RF (W/m2)	λ (deg C/W/m2)	ε (unitless)	∆T (deg C)
2011	391.00	1803.00	324.00	1.82	0.51	0.18	2.51	0.39	0.90	0.99
2012	395.86	1803.00	327.30	1.89	0.51	0.19	2.58	0.39	0.90	1.00
2013	398.29	1803.00	330.60	1.92	0.51	0.20	2.63	0.39	0.90	1.01
2014	400.72	1803.00	333.90	1.96	0.51	0.21	2.67	0.38	0.90	1.02
2015	403.15	1803.00	337.19	1.99	0.51	0.22	2.71	0.38	0.90	1.03
2016	405.58	1803.00	340.49	2.02	0.51	0.23	2.75	0.38	0.90	1.04
2017	408.00	1803.00	343.79	2.05	0.51	0.24	2.80	0.38	0.90	1.05
2018	410.43	1803.00	347.09	2.08	0.51	0.25	2.84	0.37	0.90	1.06
2019	412.86	1803.00	350.39	2.12	0.51	0.26	2.88	0.37	0.90	1.07
2020	415.29	1803.00	353.69	2.15	0.51	0.27	2.92	0.37	0.90	1.08
2021	417.72	1803.00	356.99	2.18	0.51	0.28	2.96	0.37	0.90	1.09
2022	420.15	1803.00	360.28	2.21	0.51	0.29	3.00	0.37	0.90	1.10
2023	422.92	1803.00	363.58	2.24	0.51	0.30	3.05	0.36	0.90	1.11
2024	426.18	1803.00	366.88	2.29	0.51	0.31	3.10	0.36	0.90	1.12
2025	430.01	1803.00	370.18	2.33	0.51	0.32	3.16	0.36	0.90	1.13
2026	434.48	1803.00	373.48	2.39	0.51	0.33	3.22	0.36	0.90	1.15
2027	439.34	1803.00	376.78	2.45	0.51	0.34	3.29	0.35	0.90	1.16
2028	444.19	1803.00	380.08	2.51	0.51	0.35	3.36	0.35	0.90	1.18
2029	449.05	1803.00	383.37	2.57	0.51	0.36	3.43	0.35	0.91	1.19
2030	453.91	1803.00	386.67	2.62	0.51	0.37	3.49	0.34	0.91	1.20
2031	458.77	1803.00	389.97	2.68	0.51	0.38	3.56	0.34	0.91	1.22
2032	463.63	1803.00	393.27	2.74	0.51	0.38	3.63	0.34	0.91	1.23
2033	468.49	1803.00	396.57	2.79	0.51	0.39	3.69	0.34	0.91	1.24
2034	473.34	1803.00	399.87	2.85	0.51	0.40	3.76	0.33	0.91	1.26
2035	478.20	1803.00	403.16	2.90	0.51	0.41	3.82	0.33	0.91	1.27
2036	483.06	1803.00	406.46	2.96	0.51	0.42	3.88	0.33	0.91	1.28
2037	487.92	1803.00	409.76	3.01	0.51	0.43	3.95	0.33	0.91	1.30
2038	492.78	1803.00	413.06	3.06	0.51	0.44	4.01	0.33	0.91	1.31
2039	497.64	1803.00	416.36	3.12	0.51	0.45	4.07	0.32	0.91	1.32
2040	502.50	1803.00	419.66	3.17	0.51	0.46	4.13	0.32	0.91	1.33
2041	507.35	1803.00	422.96	3.22	0.51	0.47	4.19	0.32	0.91	1.35
2042	512.21	1803.00	426.25	3.27	0.51	0.48	4.25	0.32	0.91	1.36
2043	517.07	1803.00	429.55	3.32	0.51	0.49	4.31	0.32	0.91	1.37
2044	521.93	1803.00	432.85	3.37	0.51	0.49	4.37	0.32	0.91	1.38
2045	526.79	1803.00	436.15	3.42	0.51	0.50	4.43	0.31	0.91	1.39
2046	531.65	1803.00	439.45	3.47	0.51	0.51	4.49	0.31	0.91	1.41
2047	536.51	1803.00	442.75	3.52	0.51	0.52	4.54	0.31	0.91	1.42
2048	541.36	1803.00	446.05	3.57	0.51	0.53	4.60	0.31	0.91	1.43
2049	546.22	1803.00	449.34	3.61	0.51	0.54	4.66	0.31	0.91	1.44
2050	551.08	1803.00	452.64	3.66	0.51	0.55	4.71	0.31	0.91	1.46
2051	555.94	1803.00	455.94	3.71	0.51	0.56	4.77	0.31	0.91	1.47
2052	560.80	1803.00	459.24	3.75	0.51	0.57	4.83	0.31	0.91	1.48
2053	565.66	1803.00	462.54	3.80	0.51	0.57	4.88	0.31	0.91	1.50
2054	570.51	1803.00	465.84	3.85	0.51	0.58	4.93	0.31	0.91	1.51
2055	575.37	1803.00	469.14	3.89	0.51	0.59	4.99	0.30	0.91	1.52
2056	580.23	1803.00	472.43	3.94	0.51	0.60	5.04	0.30	0.91	1.53
2057	585.09	1803.00	475.73	3.98	0.51	0.61	5.10	0.30	0.91	1.55
2058	589.95	1803.00	479.03	4.03	0.51	0.62	5.15	0.30	0.91	1.56
2059	594.81	1803.00	482.33	4.07	0.51	0.63	5.20	0.30	0.91	1.57
2060	599.67	1803.00	485.63	4.11	0.51	0.63	5.25	0.30	0.91	1.59
2061	604.52	1803.00	488.93	4.16	0.51	0.64	5.30	0.30	0.91	1.60
2062	609.38	1803.00	492.23	4.20	0.51	0.65	5.36	0.30	0.91	1.61
2063	614.24	1803.00	495.52	4.24	0.51	0.66	5.41	0.30	0.91	1.63
2064	619.10	1803.00	498.82	4.28	0.51	0.67	5.46	0.30	0.91	1.64
2065	623.96	1803.00	502.12	4.33	0.51	0.68	5.51	0.30	0.91	1.66
2066	628.82	1803.00	505.42	4.37	0.51	0.68	5.56	0.30	0.91	1.67
2067	633.67	1803.00	508.72	4.41	0.51	0.69	5.61	0.30	0.91	1.69
2068	638.53	1803.00	512.02	4.45	0.51	0.70	5.65	0.30	0.91	1.70
2069	643.39	1803.00	515.32	4.49	0.51	0.71	5.70	0.30	0.91	1.71
2070	648.25	1803.00	518.61	4.53	0.51	0.72	5.75	0.30	0.91	1.73
2071	653.11	1803.00	521.91	4.57	0.51	0.73	5.80	0.30	0.91	1.74
2072	657.97	1803.00	525.21	4.61	0.51	0.73	5.85	0.30	0.91	1.76
2073	662.83	1803.00	528.51	4.65	0.51	0.74	5.90	0.30	0.91	1.77
2074	667.68	1803.00	531.81	4.69	0.51	0.75	5.94	0.30	0.91	1.79
2075	672.54	1803.00	535.11	4.73	0.51	0.76	5.99	0.30	0.91	1.81
2076	677.40	1803.00	538.41	4.76	0.51	0.77	6.04	0.30	0.91	1.82
2077	682.26	1803.00	541.70	4.80	0.51	0.77	6.08	0.30	0.91	1.84
2078	687.12	1803.00	545.00	4.84	0.51	0.78	6.13	0.30	0.92	1.85
2079	691.98	1803.00	548.30	4.88	0.51	0.79	6.17	0.30	0.92	1.87
2080	696.84	1803.00	551.60	4.92	0.51	0.80	6.22	0.30	0.92	1.89
2081	701.69	1803.00	554.90	4.95	0.51	0.81	6.26	0.30	0.92	1.90
2082	706.55	1803.00	558.20	4.99	0.51	0.81	6.31	0.30	0.92	1.92
2083	711.41	1803.00	561.49	5.03	0.51	0.82	6.35	0.30	0.92	1.94
2084	716.27	1803.00	564.79	5.06	0.51	0.83	6.40	0.31	0.92	1.95
2085	721.13	1803.00	568.09	5.10	0.51	0.84	6.44	0.31	0.92	1.97
2086	725.99	1803.00	571.39	5.14	0.51	0.84	6.49	0.31	0.92	1.99
2087	730.84	1803.00	574.69	5.17	0.51	0.85	6.53	0.31	0.92	2.01
2088	735.70	1803.00	577.99	5.21	0.51	0.86	6.57	0.31	0.92	2.02
2089	740.56	1803.00	581.29	5.24	0.51	0.87	6.62	0.31	0.92	2.04
2090	745.42	1803.00	584.58	5.28	0.51	0.88	6.66	0.31	0.92	2.06
2091	750.28	1803.00	587.88	5.31	0.51	0.88	6.70	0.31	0.92	2.08
2092	755.14	1803.00	591.18	5.35	0.51	0.89	6.74	0.31	0.92	2.10
2093	760.00	1803.00	594.48	5.38	0.51	0.90	6.78	0.31	0.92	2.12
2094	764.85	1803.00	597.78	5.41	0.51	0.91	6.83	0.31	0.92	2.13
2095	769.71	1803.00	601.08	5.45	0.51	0.91	6.87	0.31	0.92	2.15
2096	774.57	1803.00	604.38	5.48	0.51	0.92	6.91	0.31	0.92	2.17
2097	779.43	1803.00	607.67	5.52	0.51	0.93	6.95	0.32	0.92	2.19
2098	784.29	1803.00	610.97	5.55	0.51	0.94	6.99	0.32	0.92	2.21
2099	789.15	1803.00	614.27	5.58	0.51	0.94	7.03	0.32	0.92	2.23
2100	794.01	1803.00	617.57	5.61	0.51	0.95	7.07	0.32	0.92	2.25

Latitudinal Mean Temperatures (T, deg K)

Year	Mean	Latitude +90	Latitude +45	Latitude 0	Latitude -45	Latitude -90
2011	287.55	269.83	283.26	295.66	283.26	269.83
2050	288.02	270.33	283.73	296.15	283.73	270.33
2100	288.81	271.10	284.52	296.96	284.52	271.10

Latitudinal Net Incoming/Outgoing Radiant Flux Densities (R, W/m2)

Latitude	Incoming SW Radiation - 2011	Incoming SW Radiation - 2050	Incoming SW Radiation - 2100	Outgoing LW Radiation - 2011	Outgoing LW Radiation - 2050	Outgoing LW Radiation - 2100
90	123.242	123.465	123.465	190.558	190.687	190.759
45	209.629	209.629	209.629	225.906	225.918	225.939
0	295.792	295.792	295.792	264.957	264.903	264.814
-45	209.629	209.629	209.629	225.906	225.918	225.939
-90	123.242	123.465	123.465	190.558	190.687	190.759

Planetary Albedos (A)

Year	Latitude +90	Latitude +45	Latitude 0	Latitude -45	Latitude -90
2011	0.301	0.300	0.300	0.300	0.301
2050	0.300	0.300	0.300	0.300	0.300
2100	0.300	0.300	0.300	0.300	0.300

Surface Albedos (A)

Year	Latitude +90	Latitude +45	Latitude 0	Latitude -45	Latitude -90
2011	0.103	0.100	0.100	0.100	0.103
2050	0.100	0.100	0.100	0.100	0.100
2100	0.100	0.100	0.100	0.100	0.100