Simulated Final State (year 2100):
∆T:
0
oC;
∆RF:
0
W/m2; CO2 Conc.:
0
ppm; CH4 Conc.:
0
ppb; N2O Conc.:
0
ppb
Legend:
∆T=global mean annual surface temperature change relative to year 1750 (deg C); T=absolute mean annual surface temperature (deg K); ∆RF=radiative forcing relative to year 1750 (W/m2); Conc.=atmospheric concentration (ppm or ppb); λ=climate sensitivity (deg C/W/m2); ε=atmospheric longwave emissivity or absorptivity at thermal equlibrium (unitless); R=radiant flux density (W/m2); SW=shortwave; LW=longwave; A=albedo.
Year | Co2 Conc. (ppm) | CH4 Conc. (ppb) | N2O Conc. (ppb) | Co2 ∆RF (W/m2) | CH4 ∆RF (W/m2) | N2O ∆RF (W/m2) | Total ∆RF (W/m2) | λ (deg C/W/m2) | ε (unitless) | ∆T (deg C) |
2011 | 391.00 | 1803.00 | 324.00 | 1.82 | 0.51 | 0.18 | 2.51 | 0.39 | 0.90 | 0.99 |
2012 | 395.89 | 1804.28 | 327.33 | 1.89 | 0.51 | 0.19 | 2.59 | 0.39 | 0.90 | 1.00 |
2013 | 398.35 | 1806.82 | 330.68 | 1.92 | 0.51 | 0.20 | 2.63 | 0.39 | 0.90 | 1.02 |
2014 | 400.83 | 1810.62 | 334.07 | 1.96 | 0.51 | 0.21 | 2.67 | 0.38 | 0.90 | 1.03 |
2015 | 403.32 | 1815.64 | 337.48 | 1.99 | 0.51 | 0.22 | 2.72 | 0.38 | 0.90 | 1.04 |
2016 | 405.82 | 1821.88 | 340.91 | 2.02 | 0.51 | 0.23 | 2.77 | 0.38 | 0.90 | 1.05 |
2017 | 408.35 | 1829.33 | 344.38 | 2.06 | 0.52 | 0.24 | 2.81 | 0.38 | 0.90 | 1.06 |
2018 | 410.88 | 1837.95 | 347.87 | 2.09 | 0.52 | 0.25 | 2.86 | 0.37 | 0.90 | 1.07 |
2019 | 413.43 | 1847.75 | 351.38 | 2.12 | 0.52 | 0.26 | 2.91 | 0.37 | 0.90 | 1.08 |
2020 | 416.00 | 1858.71 | 354.92 | 2.16 | 0.53 | 0.27 | 2.95 | 0.37 | 0.90 | 1.09 |
2021 | 418.58 | 1870.81 | 358.48 | 2.19 | 0.53 | 0.28 | 3.00 | 0.37 | 0.90 | 1.10 |
2022 | 421.28 | 1884.03 | 362.07 | 2.22 | 0.53 | 0.29 | 3.05 | 0.36 | 0.90 | 1.11 |
2023 | 424.53 | 1898.37 | 365.68 | 2.27 | 0.54 | 0.30 | 3.11 | 0.36 | 0.90 | 1.12 |
2024 | 428.41 | 1912.53 | 369.32 | 2.31 | 0.55 | 0.32 | 3.17 | 0.36 | 0.90 | 1.14 |
2025 | 433.00 | 1926.50 | 372.98 | 2.37 | 0.55 | 0.33 | 3.25 | 0.35 | 0.90 | 1.15 |
2026 | 438.29 | 1940.30 | 376.66 | 2.44 | 0.56 | 0.34 | 3.33 | 0.35 | 0.90 | 1.17 |
2027 | 443.61 | 1953.93 | 380.36 | 2.50 | 0.56 | 0.35 | 3.41 | 0.35 | 0.91 | 1.19 |
2028 | 448.96 | 1967.38 | 384.09 | 2.56 | 0.56 | 0.36 | 3.49 | 0.34 | 0.91 | 1.20 |
2029 | 454.33 | 1980.67 | 387.83 | 2.63 | 0.57 | 0.37 | 3.57 | 0.34 | 0.91 | 1.22 |
2030 | 459.72 | 1993.78 | 391.60 | 2.69 | 0.57 | 0.38 | 3.65 | 0.34 | 0.91 | 1.23 |
2031 | 465.14 | 2006.73 | 395.39 | 2.75 | 0.58 | 0.39 | 3.72 | 0.34 | 0.91 | 1.25 |
2032 | 470.59 | 2019.51 | 399.20 | 2.82 | 0.58 | 0.40 | 3.80 | 0.33 | 0.91 | 1.27 |
2033 | 476.06 | 2032.14 | 403.03 | 2.88 | 0.59 | 0.41 | 3.88 | 0.33 | 0.91 | 1.28 |
2034 | 481.55 | 2044.60 | 406.88 | 2.94 | 0.59 | 0.42 | 3.95 | 0.33 | 0.91 | 1.30 |
2035 | 487.07 | 2056.90 | 410.74 | 3.00 | 0.60 | 0.43 | 4.03 | 0.33 | 0.91 | 1.31 |
2036 | 492.61 | 2069.05 | 414.63 | 3.06 | 0.60 | 0.44 | 4.11 | 0.32 | 0.91 | 1.33 |
2037 | 498.17 | 2081.05 | 418.54 | 3.12 | 0.60 | 0.46 | 4.18 | 0.32 | 0.91 | 1.34 |
2038 | 503.76 | 2092.89 | 422.46 | 3.18 | 0.61 | 0.47 | 4.26 | 0.32 | 0.91 | 1.36 |
2039 | 509.37 | 2104.59 | 426.40 | 3.24 | 0.61 | 0.48 | 4.33 | 0.32 | 0.91 | 1.37 |
2040 | 515.00 | 2116.13 | 430.36 | 3.30 | 0.62 | 0.49 | 4.40 | 0.32 | 0.91 | 1.39 |
2041 | 520.65 | 2127.53 | 434.34 | 3.36 | 0.62 | 0.50 | 4.48 | 0.31 | 0.91 | 1.40 |
2042 | 526.32 | 2138.79 | 438.33 | 3.41 | 0.62 | 0.51 | 4.55 | 0.31 | 0.91 | 1.42 |
2043 | 532.02 | 2149.90 | 442.34 | 3.47 | 0.63 | 0.52 | 4.62 | 0.31 | 0.91 | 1.44 |
2044 | 537.74 | 2160.87 | 446.37 | 3.53 | 0.63 | 0.53 | 4.69 | 0.31 | 0.91 | 1.45 |
2045 | 543.47 | 2171.71 | 450.41 | 3.59 | 0.64 | 0.54 | 4.76 | 0.31 | 0.91 | 1.47 |
2046 | 549.23 | 2182.40 | 454.47 | 3.64 | 0.64 | 0.55 | 4.83 | 0.31 | 0.91 | 1.48 |
2047 | 555.01 | 2192.96 | 458.55 | 3.70 | 0.64 | 0.56 | 4.90 | 0.31 | 0.91 | 1.50 |
2048 | 560.81 | 2203.39 | 462.64 | 3.75 | 0.65 | 0.57 | 4.97 | 0.31 | 0.91 | 1.52 |
2049 | 566.62 | 2213.69 | 466.75 | 3.81 | 0.65 | 0.59 | 5.04 | 0.30 | 0.91 | 1.53 |
2050 | 572.46 | 2223.85 | 470.87 | 3.86 | 0.65 | 0.60 | 5.11 | 0.30 | 0.91 | 1.55 |
2051 | 578.32 | 2233.89 | 475.00 | 3.92 | 0.66 | 0.61 | 5.18 | 0.30 | 0.91 | 1.57 |
2052 | 584.19 | 2243.80 | 479.16 | 3.97 | 0.66 | 0.62 | 5.25 | 0.30 | 0.91 | 1.59 |
2053 | 590.09 | 2253.58 | 483.32 | 4.03 | 0.66 | 0.63 | 5.32 | 0.30 | 0.91 | 1.60 |
2054 | 596.00 | 2263.24 | 487.50 | 4.08 | 0.67 | 0.64 | 5.38 | 0.30 | 0.91 | 1.62 |
2055 | 601.93 | 2272.78 | 491.69 | 4.13 | 0.67 | 0.65 | 5.45 | 0.30 | 0.91 | 1.64 |
2056 | 607.88 | 2282.20 | 495.90 | 4.19 | 0.67 | 0.66 | 5.52 | 0.30 | 0.91 | 1.66 |
2057 | 613.85 | 2291.49 | 500.12 | 4.24 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 5.58 | 0.30 | 0.91 | 1.68 |
2058 | 619.83 | 2300.67 | 504.35 | 4.29 | 0.68 | 0.68 | 5.65 | 0.30 | 0.91 | 1.70 |
2059 | 625.84 | 2309.74 | 508.59 | 4.34 | 0.68 | 0.69 | 5.71 | 0.30 | 0.91 | 1.72 |
2060 | 631.86 | 2318.69 | 512.85 | 4.39 | 0.68 | 0.70 | 5.78 | 0.30 | 0.91 | 1.74 |
2061 | 637.89 | 2327.52 | 517.12 | 4.44 | 0.69 | 0.71 | 5.84 | 0.30 | 0.91 | 1.76 |
2062 | 643.94 | 2336.25 | 521.40 | 4.49 | 0.69 | 0.72 | 5.91 | 0.30 | 0.91 | 1.78 |
2063 | 650.01 | 2344.86 | 525.70 | 4.54 | 0.69 | 0.73 | 5.97 | 0.30 | 0.91 | 1.80 |
2064 | 656.10 | 2353.36 | 530.00 | 4.59 | 0.69 | 0.75 | 6.03 | 0.30 | 0.91 | 1.82 |
2065 | 662.20 | 2361.76 | 534.32 | 4.64 | 0.70 | 0.76 | 6.10 | 0.30 | 0.91 | 1.84 |
2066 | 668.32 | 2370.05 | 538.65 | 4.69 | 0.70 | 0.77 | 6.16 | 0.30 | 0.92 | 1.86 |
2067 | 674.45 | 2378.24 | 542.99 | 4.74 | 0.70 | 0.78 | 6.22 | 0.30 | 0.92 | 1.89 |
2068 | 680.60 | 2386.32 | 547.34 | 4.79 | 0.71 | 0.79 | 6.28 | 0.30 | 0.92 | 1.91 |
2069 | 686.77 | 2394.30 | 551.71 | 4.84 | 0.71 | 0.80 | 6.34 | 0.30 | 0.92 | 1.93 |
2070 | 692.95 | 2402.18 | 556.08 | 4.89 | 0.71 | 0.81 | 6.40 | 0.31 | 0.92 | 1.96 |
2071 | 699.14 | 2409.96 | 560.28 | 4.93 | 0.71 | 0.82 | 6.47 | 0.31 | 0.92 | 1.98 |
2072 | 705.35 | 2417.64 | 564.32 | 4.98 | 0.72 | 0.83 | 6.52 | 0.31 | 0.92 | 2.00 |
2073 | 711.57 | 2425.22 | 568.20 | 5.03 | 0.72 | 0.84 | 6.58 | 0.31 | 0.92 | 2.03 |
2074 | 717.81 | 2432.71 | 571.91 | 5.07 | 0.72 | 0.85 | 6.64 | 0.31 | 0.92 | 2.05 |
2075 | 724.06 | 2440.10 | 575.45 | 5.12 | 0.72 | 0.85 | 6.70 | 0.31 | 0.92 | 2.08 |
2076 | 730.33 | 2447.40 | 578.82 | 5.17 | 0.72 | 0.86 | 6.75 | 0.31 | 0.92 | 2.10 |
2077 | 736.61 | 2454.60 | 582.03 | 5.21 | 0.73 | 0.87 | 6.81 | 0.31 | 0.92 | 2.13 |
2078 | 742.90 | 2461.72 | 585.07 | 5.26 | 0.73 | 0.88 | 6.86 | 0.31 | 0.92 | 2.15 |
2079 | 749.21 | 2468.75 | 587.95 | 5.30 | 0.73 | 0.88 | 6.92 | 0.31 | 0.92 | 2.18 |
2080 | 755.53 | 2475.68 | 590.66 | 5.35 | 0.73 | 0.89 | 6.97 | 0.32 | 0.92 | 2.20 |
2081 | 761.86 | 2482.53 | 593.20 | 5.39 | 0.74 | 0.90 | 7.02 | 0.32 | 0.92 | 2.23 |
2082 | 768.21 | 2489.29 | 595.58 | 5.44 | 0.74 | 0.90 | 7.08 | 0.32 | 0.92 | 2.25 |
2083 | 774.57 | 2495.97 | 597.79 | 5.48 | 0.74 | 0.91 | 7.13 | 0.32 | 0.92 | 2.28 |
2084 | 780.94 | 2502.56 | 599.83 | 5.53 | 0.74 | 0.91 | 7.18 | 0.32 | 0.92 | 2.31 |
2085 | 787.33 | 2509.07 | 601.71 | 5.57 | 0.74 | 0.92 | 7.23 | 0.32 | 0.92 | 2.33 |
2086 | 793.72 | 2515.49 | 603.42 | 5.61 | 0.75 | 0.92 | 7.28 | 0.32 | 0.92 | 2.36 |
2087 | 800.13 | 2521.84 | 604.97 | 5.66 | 0.75 | 0.92 | 7.33 | 0.33 | 0.92 | 2.38 |
2088 | 806.55 | 2528.10 | 606.35 | 5.70 | 0.75 | 0.93 | 7.37 | 0.33 | 0.92 | 2.41 |
2089 | 812.99 | 2534.29 | 607.56 | 5.74 | 0.75 | 0.93 | 7.42 | 0.33 | 0.92 | 2.44 |
2090 | 819.43 | 2540.39 | 608.61 | 5.78 | 0.75 | 0.93 | 7.47 | 0.33 | 0.92 | 2.46 |
2091 | 825.14 | 2515.61 | 609.49 | 5.82 | 0.75 | 0.93 | 7.50 | 0.33 | 0.92 | 2.48 |
2092 | 830.11 | 2459.93 | 610.20 | 5.85 | 0.73 | 0.93 | 7.52 | 0.33 | 0.92 | 2.49 |
2093 | 834.35 | 2373.37 | 610.75 | 5.88 | 0.70 | 0.94 | 7.52 | 0.33 | 0.92 | 2.49 |
2094 | 837.85 | 2255.94 | 611.13 | 5.90 | 0.66 | 0.94 | 7.50 | 0.33 | 0.92 | 2.48 |
2095 | 840.62 | 2107.63 | 611.34 | 5.92 | 0.61 | 0.94 | 7.47 | 0.33 | 0.92 | 2.47 |
2096 | 842.65 | 1928.47 | 611.39 | 5.93 | 0.55 | 0.94 | 7.42 | 0.33 | 0.92 | 2.44 |
2097 | 843.94 | 1718.45 | 611.27 | 5.94 | 0.47 | 0.94 | 7.35 | 0.33 | 0.92 | 2.40 |
2098 | 844.50 | 1477.58 | 610.99 | 5.94 | 0.38 | 0.94 | 7.26 | 0.32 | 0.92 | 2.35 |
2099 | 844.32 | 1205.87 | 610.54 | 5.94 | 0.26 | 0.94 | 7.14 | 0.32 | 0.92 | 2.29 |
2100 | 843.41 | 903.32 | 609.92 | 5.94 | 0.11 | 0.93 | 6.99 | 0.32 | 0.92 | 2.21 |
Latitudinal Mean Temperatures (T, deg K)
Year | Mean | Latitude +90 | Latitude +45 | Latitude 0 | Latitude -45 | Latitude -90 |
2011 | 287.55 | 269.83 | 283.26 | 295.66 | 283.26 | 269.83 |
2050 | 288.11 | 270.42 | 283.82 | 296.24 | 283.82 | 270.42 |
2100 | 288.77 | 271.06 | 284.48 | 296.92 | 284.48 | 271.06 |
Latitudinal Net Incoming/Outgoing Radiant Flux Densities (R, W/m2)
Latitude | Incoming SW Radiation - 2011 | Incoming SW Radiation - 2050 | Incoming SW Radiation - 2100 | Outgoing LW Radiation - 2011 | Outgoing LW Radiation - 2050 | Outgoing LW Radiation - 2100 |
90 | 123.242 | 123.465 | 123.465 | 190.558 | 190.696 | 190.756 |
45 | 209.629 | 209.629 | 209.629 | 225.906 | 225.921 | 225.938 |
0 | 295.792 | 295.792 | 295.792 | 264.957 | 264.892 | 264.819 |
-45 | 209.629 | 209.629 | 209.629 | 225.906 | 225.921 | 225.938 |
-90 | 123.242 | 123.465 | 123.465 | 190.558 | 190.696 | 190.756 |
Planetary Albedos (A)
Year | Latitude +90 | Latitude +45 | Latitude 0 | Latitude -45 | Latitude -90 |
2011 | 0.301 | 0.300 | 0.300 | 0.300 | 0.301 |
2050 | 0.300 | 0.300 | 0.300 | 0.300 | 0.300 |
2100 | 0.300 | 0.300 | 0.300 | 0.300 | 0.300 |
Surface Albedos (A)
Year | Latitude +90 | Latitude +45 | Latitude 0 | Latitude -45 | Latitude -90 |
2011 | 0.103 | 0.100 | 0.100 | 0.100 | 0.103 |
2050 | 0.100 | 0.100 | 0.100 | 0.100 | 0.100 |
2100 | 0.100 | 0.100 | 0.100 | 0.100 | 0.100 |