ClimateSim - a climate-change simulation app from ScienceBySimulation

Quick steps: • Select a scenario, and/or specify and save a trend for each greenhouse gas (GHG) • Click "Simulate" to run a climate simulation

Specify Emissions Trend	Select GHG:
Set Mid-Century Year
Specify Mid-Century Emissions		PgC
Specify Final Emissions (in the year 2100)		PgC

Select scenario:

Run simulation:

View Detailed Results

Emissions Trends	Year 2011	Mid-Century	Year 2100
CO2 (PgC) Mid-century:	0	0	0
CH4 (TgCH4) Mid-century:	0	0	0
N2O (TgN) Mid-century:	0	0	0

Summary Results

Simulated Final State (year 2100): ∆T: 0 ^oC; ∆RF: 0 W/m2; CO2 Conc.: 0 ppm; CH4 Conc.: 0 ppb; N2O Conc.: 0 ppb

Legend: ∆T=global mean annual surface temperature change relative to year 1750 (deg C); T=absolute mean annual surface temperature (deg K); ∆RF=radiative forcing relative to year 1750 (W/m2); Conc.=atmospheric concentration (ppm or ppb); λ=climate sensitivity (deg C/W/m2); ε=atmospheric longwave emissivity or absorptivity at thermal equlibrium (unitless); R=radiant flux density (W/m2); SW=shortwave; LW=longwave; A=albedo.

Detailed Simulation Results:
Global Earth System Response to GHG Perturbation

Year	Co2 Conc. (ppm)	CH4 Conc. (ppb)	N2O Conc. (ppb)	Co2 ∆RF (W/m2)	CH4 ∆RF (W/m2)	N2O ∆RF (W/m2)	Total ∆RF (W/m2)	λ (deg C/W/m2)	ε (unitless)	∆T (deg C)
2011	391.00	1803.00	324.00	1.82	0.51	0.18	2.51	0.39	0.90	0.99
2012	396.11	1803.00	327.30	1.89	0.51	0.19	2.59	0.39	0.90	1.01
2013	398.78	1803.00	330.60	1.93	0.51	0.20	2.63	0.39	0.90	1.02
2014	401.57	1803.00	333.90	1.97	0.51	0.21	2.68	0.38	0.90	1.03
2015	404.48	1803.00	337.19	2.01	0.51	0.22	2.73	0.38	0.90	1.04
2016	407.50	1803.00	340.49	2.05	0.51	0.23	2.78	0.38	0.90	1.05
2017	410.62	1803.00	343.79	2.09	0.51	0.24	2.83	0.38	0.90	1.06
2018	413.86	1803.00	347.09	2.13	0.51	0.25	2.88	0.37	0.90	1.07
2019	417.19	1803.00	350.39	2.17	0.51	0.26	2.94	0.37	0.90	1.09
2020	420.63	1803.00	353.69	2.22	0.51	0.27	2.99	0.37	0.90	1.10
2021	424.17	1803.00	356.99	2.26	0.51	0.28	3.04	0.36	0.90	1.11
2022	427.80	1803.00	360.28	2.31	0.51	0.29	3.10	0.36	0.90	1.12
2023	431.52	1803.00	363.58	2.35	0.51	0.30	3.16	0.36	0.90	1.13
2024	435.51	1803.00	366.88	2.40	0.51	0.31	3.22	0.36	0.90	1.15
2025	440.10	1803.00	370.18	2.46	0.51	0.32	3.28	0.35	0.90	1.16
2026	445.38	1803.00	373.48	2.52	0.51	0.33	3.35	0.35	0.90	1.18
2027	451.41	1803.00	376.78	2.59	0.51	0.34	3.44	0.35	0.91	1.19
2028	458.28	1803.00	380.08	2.67	0.51	0.35	3.53	0.34	0.91	1.21
2029	466.07	1803.00	383.37	2.76	0.51	0.36	3.63	0.34	0.91	1.23
2030	474.70	1803.00	386.67	2.86	0.51	0.37	3.73	0.34	0.91	1.25
2031	483.47	1803.00	389.97	2.96	0.51	0.38	3.84	0.33	0.91	1.27
2032	492.40	1803.00	393.27	3.06	0.51	0.38	3.95	0.33	0.91	1.30
2033	501.46	1803.00	396.57	3.16	0.51	0.39	4.06	0.32	0.91	1.32
2034	510.67	1803.00	399.87	3.25	0.51	0.40	4.16	0.32	0.91	1.34
2035	520.02	1803.00	403.16	3.35	0.51	0.41	4.27	0.32	0.91	1.36
2036	529.49	1803.00	406.46	3.45	0.51	0.42	4.37	0.32	0.91	1.38
2037	539.10	1803.00	409.76	3.54	0.51	0.43	4.48	0.31	0.91	1.41
2038	548.83	1803.00	413.06	3.64	0.51	0.44	4.58	0.31	0.91	1.43
2039	558.69	1803.00	416.36	3.73	0.51	0.45	4.69	0.31	0.91	1.45
2040	568.66	1803.00	419.66	3.83	0.51	0.46	4.79	0.31	0.91	1.48
2041	578.76	1803.00	422.96	3.92	0.51	0.47	4.90	0.31	0.91	1.50
2042	588.96	1803.00	426.25	4.02	0.51	0.48	5.00	0.30	0.91	1.52
2043	599.28	1803.00	429.55	4.11	0.51	0.49	5.10	0.30	0.91	1.55
2044	609.70	1803.00	432.85	4.20	0.51	0.49	5.20	0.30	0.91	1.57
2045	620.23	1803.00	436.15	4.29	0.51	0.50	5.30	0.30	0.91	1.60
2046	630.87	1803.00	439.45	4.38	0.51	0.51	5.40	0.30	0.91	1.63
2047	641.60	1803.00	442.75	4.47	0.51	0.52	5.50	0.30	0.91	1.66
2048	652.43	1803.00	446.05	4.56	0.51	0.53	5.60	0.30	0.91	1.68
2049	663.35	1803.00	449.34	4.65	0.51	0.54	5.70	0.30	0.91	1.71
2050	674.37	1803.00	452.64	4.74	0.51	0.55	5.79	0.30	0.91	1.74
2051	685.48	1803.00	455.94	4.83	0.51	0.56	5.89	0.30	0.91	1.77
2052	696.67	1803.00	459.24	4.92	0.51	0.57	5.99	0.30	0.91	1.80
2053	707.96	1803.00	462.54	5.00	0.51	0.57	6.08	0.30	0.91	1.84
2054	719.34	1803.00	465.84	5.09	0.51	0.58	6.17	0.30	0.92	1.87
2055	730.80	1803.00	469.14	5.17	0.51	0.59	6.27	0.30	0.92	1.90
2056	742.36	1803.00	472.43	5.25	0.51	0.60	6.36	0.30	0.92	1.94
2057	754.00	1803.00	475.73	5.34	0.51	0.61	6.45	0.31	0.92	1.97
2058	765.73	1803.00	479.03	5.42	0.51	0.62	6.54	0.31	0.92	2.01
2059	777.56	1803.00	482.33	5.50	0.51	0.63	6.63	0.31	0.92	2.05
2060	789.47	1803.00	485.63	5.58	0.51	0.63	6.72	0.31	0.92	2.09
2061	801.47	1803.00	488.93	5.66	0.51	0.64	6.81	0.31	0.92	2.13
2062	813.57	1803.00	492.23	5.74	0.51	0.65	6.90	0.31	0.92	2.17
2063	825.75	1803.00	495.52	5.82	0.51	0.66	6.99	0.32	0.92	2.21
2064	838.02	1803.00	498.82	5.90	0.51	0.67	7.08	0.32	0.92	2.25
2065	850.38	1803.00	502.12	5.98	0.51	0.68	7.16	0.32	0.92	2.30
2066	862.83	1803.00	505.42	6.06	0.51	0.68	7.25	0.32	0.92	2.34
2067	875.37	1803.00	508.72	6.14	0.51	0.69	7.33	0.33	0.92	2.39
2068	888.00	1803.00	512.02	6.21	0.51	0.70	7.42	0.33	0.92	2.44
2069	900.72	1803.00	515.32	6.29	0.51	0.71	7.50	0.33	0.92	2.49
2070	913.53	1803.00	518.61	6.36	0.51	0.72	7.59	0.33	0.93	2.53
2071	926.43	1803.00	521.91	6.44	0.51	0.73	7.67	0.34	0.93	2.59
2072	939.42	1803.00	525.21	6.51	0.51	0.73	7.75	0.34	0.93	2.64
2073	952.50	1803.00	528.51	6.59	0.51	0.74	7.84	0.34	0.93	2.69
2074	965.67	1803.00	531.81	6.66	0.51	0.75	7.92	0.35	0.93	2.74
2075	978.93	1803.00	535.11	6.73	0.51	0.76	8.00	0.35	0.93	2.80
2076	992.27	1803.00	538.41	6.81	0.51	0.77	8.08	0.35	0.93	2.86
2077	1005.71	1803.00	541.70	6.88	0.51	0.77	8.16	0.36	0.93	2.91
2078	1019.24	1803.00	545.00	6.95	0.51	0.78	8.24	0.36	0.93	2.97
2079	1032.85	1803.00	548.30	7.02	0.51	0.79	8.32	0.36	0.93	3.03
2080	1046.56	1803.00	551.60	7.09	0.51	0.80	8.40	0.37	0.93	3.09
2081	1060.35	1803.00	554.90	7.16	0.51	0.81	8.47	0.37	0.93	3.16
2082	1074.24	1803.00	558.20	7.23	0.51	0.81	8.55	0.38	0.94	3.22
2083	1088.21	1803.00	561.49	7.30	0.51	0.82	8.63	0.38	0.94	3.28
2084	1102.28	1803.00	564.79	7.37	0.51	0.83	8.70	0.38	0.94	3.35
2085	1116.43	1803.00	568.09	7.44	0.51	0.84	8.78	0.39	0.94	3.42
2086	1130.67	1803.00	571.39	7.51	0.51	0.84	8.86	0.39	0.94	3.48
2087	1145.01	1803.00	574.69	7.57	0.51	0.85	8.93	0.40	0.94	3.55
2088	1159.43	1803.00	577.99	7.64	0.51	0.86	9.01	0.40	0.94	3.62
2089	1173.94	1803.00	581.29	7.71	0.51	0.87	9.08	0.41	0.94	3.70
2090	1188.54	1803.00	584.58	7.77	0.51	0.88	9.15	0.41	0.94	3.77
2091	1203.24	1803.00	587.88	7.84	0.51	0.88	9.23	0.42	0.94	3.84
2092	1218.02	1803.00	591.18	7.90	0.51	0.89	9.30	0.42	0.95	3.92
2093	1232.89	1803.00	594.48	7.97	0.51	0.90	9.37	0.43	0.95	3.99
2094	1247.85	1803.00	597.78	8.03	0.51	0.91	9.44	0.43	0.95	4.07
2095	1262.90	1803.00	601.08	8.10	0.51	0.91	9.52	0.44	0.95	4.15
2096	1278.04	1803.00	604.38	8.16	0.51	0.92	9.59	0.44	0.95	4.23
2097	1293.27	1803.00	607.67	8.22	0.51	0.93	9.66	0.45	0.95	4.31
2098	1308.59	1803.00	610.97	8.29	0.51	0.94	9.73	0.45	0.95	4.39
2099	1324.00	1803.00	614.27	8.35	0.51	0.94	9.80	0.46	0.95	4.48
2100	1339.49	1803.00	617.57	8.41	0.51	0.95	9.87	0.46	0.95	4.56

Latitudinal Mean Temperatures (T, deg K)

Year	Mean	Latitude +90	Latitude +45	Latitude 0	Latitude -45	Latitude -90
2011	287.55	269.83	283.26	295.66	283.26	269.83
2050	288.30	270.61	284.01	296.44	284.01	270.61
2100	291.12	273.36	286.80	299.70	286.80	273.36

Latitudinal Net Incoming/Outgoing Radiant Flux Densities (R, W/m2)

Latitude	Incoming SW Radiation - 2011	Incoming SW Radiation - 2050	Incoming SW Radiation - 2100	Outgoing LW Radiation - 2011	Outgoing LW Radiation - 2050	Outgoing LW Radiation - 2100
90	123.242	123.465	123.465	190.558	190.713	190.973
45	209.629	209.629	209.629	225.906	225.926	226.043
0	295.792	295.792	295.792	264.957	264.870	263.183
-45	209.629	209.629	209.629	225.906	225.926	226.043
-90	123.242	123.465	123.465	190.558	190.713	190.973

Planetary Albedos (A)

Year	Latitude +90	Latitude +45	Latitude 0	Latitude -45	Latitude -90
2011	0.301	0.300	0.300	0.300	0.301
2050	0.300	0.300	0.300	0.300	0.300
2100	0.300	0.300	0.300	0.300	0.300

Surface Albedos (A)

Year	Latitude +90	Latitude +45	Latitude 0	Latitude -45	Latitude -90
2011	0.103	0.100	0.100	0.100	0.103
2050	0.100	0.100	0.100	0.100	0.100
2100	0.100	0.100	0.100	0.100	0.100